Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma7 - 0Empoli
We said: Roma 2-1 Empoli
Empoli will finally break their goal drought, but points may continue to elude them; if Roma can pair Lukaku and Dybala together for a sustained spell, the capital club's ailing fortunes can dramatically change. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Empoli |
58.29% ( -1.65) | 23.67% ( 0.54) | 18.04% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.47% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
