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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Lecce logo

Torino
1 - 0
Lecce

Vlasic (40')
Ilkhan (53'), Schuurs (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hjulmand (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Torino and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Torino
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Lecce
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Lecce

Under Juric, Torino rarely give away goals cheaply, so Lecce are likely to find it tough to break down their hosts. With some of their new signings settling nicely, Il Toro can claim three more points to prolong their positive start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawLecce
43.75% (0.313 0.31) 27.44% (-0.026 -0.03) 28.81% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.31% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.69% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)78.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.154 0.15)26.18% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (0.205 0.2)61.27% (-0.202 -0.2)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.227 -0.23)35.62% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.236 -0.24)72.39% (0.23899999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Torino 43.75%
    Lecce 28.81%
    Draw 27.44%
TorinoDrawLecce
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.75%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.81%

How you voted: Torino vs Lecce

Torino
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Lecce
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2020 5pm
Lecce
4-0
Torino
Deiola (11'), Barak (19'), Falco (64'), Lapadula (78' pen.)
Majer (33'), Deiola (43'), Lapadula (76')

N'Koulou (12'), Meite (18'), Aina (60')
Sep 16, 2019 7.45pm
Torino
1-2
Lecce
Belotti (58' pen.)
Berenguer (40')
Farias (35'), Mancosu (73')
Rossettini (15'), Lucioni (18'), Lapadula (50'), Tabanelli (56'), Rispoli (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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