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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Torino
0 - 1
Fiorentina


Ilic (67'), Ricci (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kean (41')
Bove (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Torino
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina

Although Torino have begun to falter, they have still lost only one Serie A home game this season, against top-five contenders Lazio. So, if the hosts can keep in-form Fiorentina at arm's length and avoid defensive mistakes, a precious point could be theirs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawFiorentina
22.3% (-0.093 -0.09) 24.92% (-0.394 -0.39) 52.78% (0.486 0.49)
Both teams to score 49.11% (1.021 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (1.408 1.41)52.82% (-1.409 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (1.191 1.19)74.44% (-1.191 -1.19)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.701 0.7)38.62% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (0.662 0.66)75.36% (-0.66199999999999 -0.66)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.75699999999999 0.76)19.99% (-0.758 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (1.207 1.21)52.17% (-1.208 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Torino 22.3%
    Fiorentina 52.77%
    Draw 24.92%
TorinoDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 22.3%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 12.42% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-2 @ 10% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.37% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.126 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.115 0.12)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 52.77%

How you voted: Torino vs Fiorentina

Torino
27.4%
Draw
22.6%
Fiorentina
50.0%
124
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Torino
0-0
Fiorentina
Juric (8'), Ricci (45+5'), Juric (45+6')
Ricci (45+7'), Juric (90')
Ranieri (7'), Beltran (41'), Arthur (45+7'), Barak (83')
Dec 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Fiorentina
1-0
Torino
Ranieri (83')
Biraghi (24'), Kayode (68'), Ranieri (75'), Ikone (87')

Ricci (55'), Djidji (89')
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 36
Torino
1-1
Fiorentina
Sanabria (66')
Singo (60')
Jovic (48')
Mandragora (19'), Bianco (77')
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Fiorentina
2-1
Torino
Jovic (65'), Ikone (90')
Karamoh (90+3')
Jan 21, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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