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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Inter logo

Udinese
2 - 3
Inter Milan

Kabasele (35'), Lucca (83')
Karlstrom (26')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Frattesi (1'), Martinez (45+3', 47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 3-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-2 Inter Milan

Even though Udinese have become a tougher proposition since the back end of last season, Inter must surely post their first away win of the current campaign on Saturday. The Scudetto holders are going through a sticky patch at the moment, but their class will shine through and prove sufficient to secure maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawInter Milan
27.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 23.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 49.31% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.47% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.6% (0.089999999999996 0.09)40.39% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23% (0.091999999999999 0.09)62.77% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (0.051000000000002 0.05)27.5% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99% (0.067 0.07)63% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)16.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (0.067 0.07)46.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 27.58%
    Inter Milan 49.31%
    Draw 23.11%
UdineseDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64%
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.58%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 49.31%

How you voted: Udinese vs Inter Milan

Udinese
21.1%
Draw
15.6%
Inter Milan
63.3%
109
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Udinese
1-2
Inter Milan
Samardzic (40')
Pereyra (78')
Calhanoglu (55' pen.), Frattesi (90+5')
Martinez (90+3'), Pavard (90+2')
Dec 9, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Inter Milan
4-0
Udinese
Calhanoglu (37' pen.), Dimarco (42'), Thuram (44'), Martinez (84')
Inzaghi (36')

Ferreira (13'), Cioffi (79')
Feb 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Inter Milan
3-1
Udinese
Lukaku (20' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73'), Martinez (89')
Lovric (43')
Sep 18, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Udinese
3-1
Inter Milan
Skriniar (22' og.), Bijol (84'), Arslan (90+3')
Barella (5')
May 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 35
Udinese
1-2
Inter Milan
Pussetto (72')
Mari (40'), Pereyra (65')
Perisic (12'), Martinez (39')
Vecino (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
14Empoli214892028-820
15Parma214892636-1020
16Lecce2155111536-2120
17Como204792233-1119
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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