Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Inter Milan |
27.58% ( 0.01) | 23.11% ( -0.02) | 49.31% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.47% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.6% ( 0.09) | 40.39% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.23% ( 0.09) | 62.77% ( -0.09) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% ( 0.05) | 27.5% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.99% ( 0.07) | 63% ( -0.07) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( 0.04) | 16.59% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.6% ( 0.07) | 46.39% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.58% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 49.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |