Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Inter Milan |
27.58% ( 0.01) | 23.11% ( -0.02) | 49.31% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.47% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.6% ( 0.09) | 40.39% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.23% ( 0.09) | 62.77% ( -0.09) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% ( 0.05) | 27.5% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.99% ( 0.07) | 63% ( -0.07) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( 0.04) | 16.59% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.6% ( 0.07) | 46.39% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.58% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 49.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
8 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |