Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
54.47% ( -0.11) | 23.02% ( 0) | 22.5% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 55.28% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% ( 0.1) | 44.76% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% ( 0.1) | 67.12% ( -0.1) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.66% ( -0) | 16.34% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.06% ( -0) | 45.94% ( -0) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( 0.15) | 33.92% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.41% ( 0.16) | 70.59% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 54.47% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 22.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
3 | Torino | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
4 | Udinese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
6 | Napoli | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Empoli | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
8 | Lazio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Parma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Genoa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
14 | AC Milan | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Monza | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
16 | Roma | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
18 | Bologna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
20 | Como | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
> Serie A Full Table |