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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Spezia Calcio logo

Torino
2 - 1
Spezia

Lukic (4' pen., 69')
Bremer (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Manaj (90+7' pen.)
Erlic (3'), Nikolaou (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Spezia

Pitching together two of the lowest-scoring teams outside the bottom three, this fixture is surely bound for a close-fought draw. Even though Spezia are the team to have faced the most shots in Serie A this season, timid Torino have landed only a league-low 97 on target themselves, so a goalfest is not on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawSpezia
59.19%22.06%18.74%
Both teams to score 52.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48%45.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15%67.85%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99%15.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.52%43.48%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.87%38.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11%74.89%
Score Analysis
    Torino 59.19%
    Spezia 18.74%
    Draw 22.06%
TorinoDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 6.27%
4-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.17%
5-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 59.19%
1-1 @ 10.46%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 5.52%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 2.66%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.74%

How you voted: Torino vs Spezia

Torino
67.9%
Draw
21.4%
Spezia
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Torino
Sala (58')
Amian (65'), Nikolaou (76'), Kovalenko (89')

Rincon (38'), Linetty (52'), Sanabria (76')
May 15, 2021 2pm
Spezia
4-1
Torino
Saponara (19'), N'Zola (41' pen., 74'), Erlic (84')
Agudelo (28'), Pobega (33'), Farias (80')
Belotti (54' pen.)
Vojvoda (32'), Rincon (57'), Buongiorno (78'), Bremer (83'), Verdi (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 5pm
Torino
0-0
Spezia

Buongiorno (34'), Lyanco (61'), Linetty (89')

Pobega (17'), Verde (59'), Marchizza (76'), Gyasi (84')
Vignali (8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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