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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 17, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Spezia Calcio logo

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Spezia

Berardi (71' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

N'Zola (66'), Amian (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Inter Milan
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 3-1 Spezia

If Sassuolo continue to play with the verve and swagger which has defined their recent fixtures, then Spezia are likely to suffer the same, goal-laden fate as Milan, Roma and several other clubs in the future. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sassuolo.

Result
SassuoloDrawSpezia
53.34% (-0.334 -0.33) 23.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 23.28% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 55.11% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (0.287 0.29)45.46% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (0.274 0.27)67.8% (-0.276 -0.28)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)17% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.88% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)47.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (0.44500000000001 0.45)33.61% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (0.481 0.48)70.25% (-0.483 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 53.34%
    Spezia 23.28%
    Draw 23.37%
SassuoloDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 23.28%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Spezia

Sassuolo
82.7%
Draw
9.2%
Spezia
8.2%
98
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Sassuolo
Bastoni (30'), N'Zola (45+3' pen.)
Ekdal (68')
Ekdal (81')
Frattesi (27'), Pinamonti (50')
Marco Ferrari (45+1')
Mar 18, 2022 5.45pm
Sassuolo
4-1
Spezia
Berardi (17' pen., 48'), Ayhan (78'), Scamacca (81')
Henrique (20'), Berardi (44')
Verde (36')
Kovalenko (15'), Maggiore (55'), Erlic (80')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Sassuolo
Manaj (35'), Gyasi (48')
Reca (1'), Maggiore (4'), Sala (26'), Hristov (90')
Raspadori (66', 79')
Frattesi (44'), Kiriakopoulos (74'), Berardi (85')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
Spezia
Caputo (25')
De Zerbi (70'), Locatelli (79'), Ferrari (86')
Erlic (39'), Gyasi (78')
Bastoni (31'), Erlic (70'), Vignali (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 11.30am
Spezia
1-4
Sassuolo
Galabinov (30')
Sala (44'), Zoet (63')
Duricic (12'), Berardi (64' pen.), Defrel (66'), Caputo (76')
Duricic (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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