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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 17, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Spezia Calcio logo

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Spezia

Berardi (71' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

N'Zola (66'), Amian (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Inter Milan
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 3-1 Spezia

If Sassuolo continue to play with the verve and swagger which has defined their recent fixtures, then Spezia are likely to suffer the same, goal-laden fate as Milan, Roma and several other clubs in the future. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sassuolo.

Result
SassuoloDrawSpezia
53.34% (-0.334 -0.33) 23.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 23.28% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 55.11% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (0.287 0.29)45.46% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (0.274 0.27)67.8% (-0.276 -0.28)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)17% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.88% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)47.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (0.44500000000001 0.45)33.61% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (0.481 0.48)70.25% (-0.483 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 53.34%
    Spezia 23.28%
    Draw 23.37%
SassuoloDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 23.28%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Spezia

Sassuolo
82.7%
Draw
9.2%
Spezia
8.2%
98
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Sassuolo
Bastoni (30'), N'Zola (45+3' pen.)
Ekdal (68')
Ekdal (81')
Frattesi (27'), Pinamonti (50')
Marco Ferrari (45+1')
Mar 18, 2022 5.45pm
Sassuolo
4-1
Spezia
Berardi (17' pen., 48'), Ayhan (78'), Scamacca (81')
Henrique (20'), Berardi (44')
Verde (36')
Kovalenko (15'), Maggiore (55'), Erlic (80')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Sassuolo
Manaj (35'), Gyasi (48')
Reca (1'), Maggiore (4'), Sala (26'), Hristov (90')
Raspadori (66', 79')
Frattesi (44'), Kiriakopoulos (74'), Berardi (85')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
Spezia
Caputo (25')
De Zerbi (70'), Locatelli (79'), Ferrari (86')
Erlic (39'), Gyasi (78')
Bastoni (31'), Erlic (70'), Vignali (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 11.30am
Spezia
1-4
Sassuolo
Galabinov (30')
Sala (44'), Zoet (63')
Duricic (12'), Berardi (64' pen.), Defrel (66'), Caputo (76')
Duricic (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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