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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Hellas Verona logo

Spezia
0 - 0
Hellas Verona


Reca (89'), Zurkowski (90+5')
Marchetti (82')
FT

Terracciano (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Spezia
Sunday, February 26 at 5pm in Serie A

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Fiorentina
Monday, February 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Hellas Verona

 Spezia (six) and Verona (five) are among the three lowest-scoring teams in the second half of Serie A matches this term. The Aquilotti are also the only side yet to score via a substitute; Hellas have netted only once through their subs - and not since August. A tight draw could be on the cards, then, with either side unable to change the game and take three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
34.64% (-0.793 -0.79) 26.23% (0.148 0.15) 39.13% (0.647 0.65)
Both teams to score 53.29% (-0.591 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (-0.71 -0.71)51.29% (0.711 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (-0.622 -0.62)73.12% (0.624 0.62)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (-0.821 -0.82)28.28% (0.823 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36% (-1.05 -1.05)64% (1.052 1.05)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25.69% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)60.6% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.64%
    Hellas Verona 39.13%
    Draw 26.23%
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.13%

How you voted: Spezia vs Hellas Verona

Spezia
50.0%
Draw
23.3%
Hellas Verona
26.7%
60
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Hellas Verona
1-2
Spezia
Verdi (30')
N'Zola (53', 69')
Ampadu (32')
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
Spezia
1-2
Hellas Verona
Erlic (85')
Verde (75'), Agudelo (78'), Zoet (87')
Agudelo (87')
Caprari (59', 70')
Veloso (29'), Casale (45')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
4-0
Spezia
Simeone (4'), Faraoni (15'), Caprari (42'), Bessa (71')
Caprari (28')

Ferrer (40')
Bastoni (82')
May 1, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
1-1
Spezia
Salcedo (46')
Zaccagni (15'), Dawidowicz (38'), Sturaro (40'), Ilic (69'), Tameze (71'), Faraoni (84')
Saponara (86')
N'Zola (13'), Chabot (50')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Hellas Verona

Chabot (12'), Estevez (35'), Pobega (66'), Erlic (77'), Agoume (79')
Chabot (69')
Zaccagni (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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