MX23RW : Monday, January 13 09:09:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Umraniyespor

Karagumruk
4 - 2
Umraniyespor

Lobzhanidze (45+1'), Borini (45+6' pen., 52' pen.), Diagne (75')
Shukurov (34'), Diagne (40'), Dresevic (83'), Viviano (90+9'), Kapacak (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nayir (36' pen.), Kayode (62')
Kayode (45+8'), Glumac (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Umraniyespor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 1-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, April 10 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 3-1 Umraniyespor
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Umraniyespor

On a run of one win since early January, Unraniyespor head into Tuesday knowing that another defeat could see them slip further into trouble at the bottom end of the table. However, they face a resolute Karagumruk side who will be looking to bounce back from their defeat to Fenerbahce. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we are backing Pirlo's side to come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 1-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawUmraniyespor
51.53% (-1.139 -1.14) 21.45% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 27.01% (1.199 1.2)
Both teams to score 66.06% (1.462 1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (1.414 1.41)32.83% (-1.421 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.47% (1.615 1.62)54.52% (-1.621 -1.62)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (0.137 0.14)13.12% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.23% (0.285 0.28)39.76% (-0.293 -0.29)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (1.562 1.56)23.96% (-1.567 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (2.186 2.19)58.19% (-2.193 -2.19)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 51.53%
    Umraniyespor 27.01%
    Draw 21.45%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawUmraniyespor
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.425 -0.43)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.456 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.144 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.263 -0.26)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.121 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.087 0.09)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.177 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-3 @ 2.13% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.01%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor

Fatih Karagumruk
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Umraniyespor
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray18162051213050
2Fenerbahce17123242162639
3Samsunspor18113432181436
4EyupsporEyupspor1886429191030
5BesiktasBesiktas188642820830
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK178453223928
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul187562925426
8GaziantepGaziantep187472526-125
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor187381927-824
10TrabzonsporTrabzonspor185763024622
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor185761921-222
12KasimpasaKasimpasa174942425-121
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor186392137-1621
14KonyasporKonyaspor175571925-620
15SivassporSivasspor185582128-720
16KayserisporKayserispor183781734-1716
17Bodrumspor1843111425-1115
18Hatayspor1816111631-159
19Adana Demirspor1822141538-235


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