Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Thun had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Thun win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.