Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Portimonense win it was 2-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.