Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.27%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for AVS had a probability of 6.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for an AVS win it was 1-2 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | AVS |
82.27% ( -0.12) | 11.43% ( 0.17) | 6.3% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.35% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.55% ( -1.27) | 27.45% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.95% ( -1.62) | 48.05% ( 1.62) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.08% ( -0.25) | 4.92% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.26% ( -0.77) | 19.74% ( 0.77) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.96% ( -1.22) | 47.04% ( 1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.48% ( -0.94) | 82.52% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | AVS |
3-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.14) 6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 7-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.24% Total : 82.25% | 1-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.87% Total : 11.43% | 1-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.57% Total : 6.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 19 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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