European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nacional
Portugal U21s2 - 0England U21s
The Match
Match Report
Dany Mota's strike and a Francisco Trincao penalty saw Portugal win the Group D clash on Sunday.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Under-21 Euros clash between Portugal Under-21s and England Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Portugal Under-21s | Draw | England Under-21s |
45.43% | 22.37% | 32.2% |
Both teams to score 66.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.96% | 34.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.08% | 55.92% |
Portugal Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% | 15.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.41% | 44.59% |
England Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.53% | 21.47% |