Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.