Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon1 - 2Haverfordwest
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-5 Legia
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Haverfordwest
Sunday, August 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, August 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
32.53% ( -1.18) | 24.92% ( 0.01) | 42.56% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
