MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:33:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Haverfordwest

Jones (75')
Gosset (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahmun (73'), Jones (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-5 Legia
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Haverfordwest
Sunday, August 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
32.53% (-1.182 -1.18) 24.92% (0.012 0.01) 42.56% (1.168 1.17)
Both teams to score 57.15% (-0.435 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.94% (-0.4 -0.4)46.07% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63% (-0.379 -0.38)68.37% (0.376 0.38)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.917 -0.92)27.06% (0.915 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-1.214 -1.21)62.43% (1.213 1.21)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.38199999999999 0.38)21.65% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (0.582 0.58)54.79% (-0.584 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 32.53%
    Haverfordwest County 42.56%
    Draw 24.91%
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.252 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.064 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.082 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.56%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
0-1
Haverfordwest

Gosset (42'), John Williams (90+4')
Donohue (90+4')
Dyer (73')
Abbruzzese (90+4')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Haverfordwest
1-1
Caernarfon
Abbruzzese (90+6')
Whitmore (26')
Lloyd (77')
Richard Williams (18'), Gosset (27'), Austin (38'), Wynne (90+5')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
2-2
Caernarfon
Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
2-1
Haverfordwest
O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Wilson (57')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Haverfordwest
1-0
Caernarfon
Davies (80')

Wynne (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints25200569274260
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont25156443222151
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest25129433141945
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2511593734338
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2511593938138
6Bala TownBala Town2571173229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2510783841-337
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2585123429529
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2582153251-1926
4Briton Ferry2574143850-1225
5Newtown AFCNewtown2556142750-2321
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2552182259-3717
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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