MX23RW : Monday, December 23 02:27:54| >> :600:215487:215487:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 1
Caernarfon

Clarke (47'), Larmour (49'), Lowry (72')
Larmour (75'), Forsythe (86'), Weir (89'), Boyd (111')
FT
(aet)
Mendes (24')
Caernarfon win 8-7 on penalties
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Crusaders and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Crusaders
Thursday, July 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Crusaders
Thursday, July 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).

Result
CrusadersDrawCaernarfon Town
47.16% (-0.073 -0.07) 22.4% (-0.133 -0.13) 30.44% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 65.18% (0.637 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (0.782 0.78)35.09% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (0.867 0.87)57.09% (-0.866 -0.87)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (0.27 0.27)15.38% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82% (0.501 0.5)44.18% (-0.5 -0.5)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.51000000000001 0.51)22.98% (-0.508 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.745 0.74)56.77% (-0.745 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 47.16%
    Caernarfon Town 30.44%
    Draw 22.41%
CrusadersDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.18% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.7% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.41%
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Crusaders vs Caernarfon

Crusaders
58.3%
Draw
25.0%
Caernarfon Town
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 6.30pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Caernarfon
2-0
Crusaders
Owen (4'), Clarke (37')
Clarke (63'), Thomas (77'), Owen (84')

Offord (15'), Stewart (31'), Clarke (45+1'), Lowry (67'), O'Rourke (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!