Cardiff MU

1 - 3

Newtown

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.