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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 0
Druids

Thomas (60'), Hughes (77'), Dafydd (90')
Edwards (30'), Simpson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buckley (2'), Lockett (76'), Edge (80')
Buckley (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Druids.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Druids had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Druids win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawDruids
67.32%16.61%16.07%
Both teams to score 67.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.04%23.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.45%43.55%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.29%6.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.17%24.83%
Druids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42%27.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9%63.11%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 67.32%
    Druids 16.07%
    Draw 16.61%
Caernarfon TownDrawDruids
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 6.76%
3-0 @ 6.09%
4-1 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 5.05%
1-0 @ 5%
4-0 @ 4.11%
4-2 @ 3.41%
5-1 @ 2.86%
5-0 @ 2.22%
5-2 @ 1.84%
4-3 @ 1.46%
6-1 @ 1.29%
6-0 @ 1%
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 2.17%
0-0 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.61%
1-2 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-1 @ 2.38%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 16.07%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Druids
1-2
Caernarfon
Simpson (71')
Edge (21'), Mooney (45+2'), Ruberto (75'), Flint (81'), Cartwright (90+2')
Jones (32'), Hayes (40')
Williams (14'), Jones (52'), (74'), Williams (75')
Oct 9, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
1-2
Druids
Mendes (64')
Thomas (20'), (42'), Anderson (48'), (60'), (90+6')
Cartwright (4'), Darlington (18')
(45+3'), Simpson (57'), (90+3')
Oct 18, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Druids
3-1
Caernarfon
Mudimu (52' pen.), Davies (63', 69')
Ofori (43'), Ruberto (53'), Ashton (61'), Pritchard (76')
Breese (30')
Crowther (42'), Edwards (51'), Edwards (55'), Smith (85')
Aug 26, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
1-1
Druids
Thomas (7')
Thomas (37'), Pearson (63')
Kershaw (49')
Cartwright (53'), Kershaw (65'), Peate (80')
Sep 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Druids
1-1
Caernarfon
Ashton (28')
Thompson (10'), Simpson (45'), Mudimu (45'), Piskorski (45')
Brookwell (59')
Edwards (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon219483235-331
6Bala TownBala Town2161142621529
7Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
11Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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