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Welsh Premier League
May 29, 2021 at 12pm UK
The Oval
Newtown logo

Caernarfon
3 - 5
Newtown

Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
23.99%22.81%53.2%
Both teams to score 57.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.82%42.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41%64.59%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8%31.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46%67.54%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14%15.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.93%45.07%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 23.99%
    Newtown AFC 53.2%
    Draw 22.8%
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 6.18%
1-0 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 3.36%
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 23.99%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 5.69%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-1 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 8.39%
1-3 @ 6%
0-3 @ 5.15%
2-3 @ 3.49%
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.37%
2-4 @ 1.61%
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 53.2%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
1-1
Newtown
Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
P-P
Caernarfon
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
3-1
Newtown
Evans (58', 74'), Craig (84')
(39')
Harry (26')
(38'), (70'), (83')
Nov 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Newtown
3-1
Caernarfon
Mills-Evans (11'), Sheridan (30'), Rushton (52')
Jones (69')
rhs 2.0
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Browns
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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