Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-8 New Saints
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-5 Bala Town
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 37.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
37.62% ( 0.59) | 23.19% ( 0.16) | 39.18% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 64.59% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
