Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.