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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
0 - 1
Pen-y-Bont


MacNamara (54'), Tabone (90+2'), Abbruzzese (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ware (9')
Brown (68'), Przybek (87')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Pontypridd
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
31.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 25.09% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 43.72% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (0.022999999999996 0.02)47.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)69.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (0.024999999999991 0.02)21.65% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)54.78% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 31.19%
    Pen-y-Bont 43.72%
    Draw 25.09%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.72%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Haverfordwest
3-2
Pen-y-Bont
Wilson (12'), Abbruzzese (23'), Taylor-Crossdale (44')
Fawcett (90+7')
Brown (45+6'), Harling (62')
Venables (45+1'), Evans (51'), Kircough (65'), Pennock (80'), Brown (90+7')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Haverfordwest
Harling (36'), Owen (79')
Venables (34'), Evans (43'), Jones (56'), Reffell (58'), Davies (76'), Owen (90+6')

Abbruzzese (70'), Whitmore (77')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Haverfordwest
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Dugan (10'), Veale (33')
D. Wood (90+4' pen.)
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
3-2
Haverfordwest
Kavanagh (15'), Reffell (49'), Reynolds (72')
Borge (16')
Fawcett (18'), Humphreys (88')
Jenkins (38')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Haverfordwest
2-2
Pen-y-Bont
Watts (7'), Touray Sisay (80')
Rees (42'), Rees (88'), Richards (88')
Ahmun (12'), Owen (43')
Morris (44'), Davies (72'), Evans (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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