Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.