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World Cup
Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Chile national football team

Argentina
3 - 0
Chile

Mac Allister (48'), Alvarez (84'), Dybala (90+1')
De Paul (30'), Lo Celso (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunez (39'), Davila (40'), Diaz (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Friday's CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifier against Chile.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Colombia
Monday, July 15 at 2.15am in Copa America

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Canada 0-0 Chile
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America

We said: Argentina 2-0 Chile

 Despite the absence of Messi, Argentina will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top against Chile, who themselves are missing a few key players. The defending world champions possess a squad filled with talent and they should have few problems securing a routine victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Chile had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawChile
60.63% (-0.293 -0.29) 23.35% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 16.02% (0.265 0.26)
Both teams to score 43.63% (0.451 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22% (0.30500000000001 0.31)54.78% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (0.253 0.25)76.09% (-0.253 -0.25)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.75% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)48.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.04% (0.544 0.54)46.95% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.55% (0.407 0.41)82.45% (-0.407 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 60.61%
    Chile 16.02%
    Draw 23.35%
ArgentinaDrawChile
1-0 @ 14.4% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 12.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 60.61%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.56% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 16.02%

How you voted: Argentina vs Chile

Argentina
90.8%
Draw
6.6%
Chile
2.6%
76
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2024 2am
Group Stage
Chile
0-1
Argentina

Suazo (55'), Isla (82')
Martinez (88')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2022 12.15am
Group Stage
Chile
1-2
Argentina
Brereton Diaz (21')
Di Maria (10'), Martinez (34')
> Preview
Jun 14, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Chile
Messi (33')
Martinez (30'), Martinez (62')
Vargas (57')
Isla (25'), Pulgar (32'), Vidal (35')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Chile
Martinez (43'), Romero (52')
Galdames (2'), Aranguiz (68')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2019 3.30am
International Friendlies
Chile
0-0
Argentina
Aranguiz (7'), Baeza (49'), Vegas (75'), Pinares (77')
Paredes (6'), Dybala (15'), Tagliafico (57'), Montiel (59'), De Paul (62'), Dominguez (82')
> Match Report
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