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Guinea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade 28 Septembre
Morocco national football team

Guinea
1 - 4
Morocco

Kane (31')
Kamano (40'), Keita (45+1'), Sylla (59'), Sylla (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
El Kaabi (21'), Amallah (43', 65'), Boufal (89')
Chakla (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Guinea and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Morocco win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
GuineaDrawMorocco
38.58%23.33%38.09%
Both teams to score 64.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.51%37.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.28%59.72%
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16%19.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.08%51.92%
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94%20.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71%52.29%
Score Analysis
    Guinea 38.58%
    Morocco 38.09%
    Draw 23.33%
GuineaDrawMorocco
2-1 @ 8.37%
1-0 @ 6.44%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 38.58%
1-1 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 6.72%
0-0 @ 3.98%
3-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-1 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 4.45%
2-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 38.09%

How you voted: Guinea vs Morocco

Guinea
6.5%
Draw
8.7%
Morocco
84.8%
46
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2019 6pm
International Friendlies
Morocco
3-1
Guinea
El Kaabi (7' pen.), Ahadad (11'), Nanah (47')
Camara (20' pen.)
Millimono (28'), Mouste (45')
Jan 17, 2018 4.30pm
Group Stage
Morocco
3-1
Guinea
El Kaabi (27', 64', 68')
El Karti (58')
Bissiri Camara (28')
Bangoura (8')
rhs 2.0
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5Bournemouth178452721628
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7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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