World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 12.30am UK
USA2 - 0Jamaica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Jamaica |
| 54.85% | 25.41% | 19.74% |
| Both teams to score 44.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.74% | 57.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% | 78.1% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% | 20.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.36% | 53.64% |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.15% | 43.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20% | 80% |
| Score Analysis |
USA 54.85%
Jamaica 19.74%
Draw 25.41%
| USA | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% 2-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 4.83% 4-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.85% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.74% |
How you voted: USA vs Jamaica
USA
81.0%Draw
9.5%Jamaica
9.5%84
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2021 2.30am
Jun 6, 2019 12am
Jul 22, 2015 11pm
