Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.