Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.