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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 1, 2025 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Auckland FC
vs.
Victory

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Auckland FC
Sunday, December 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Auckland FC vs. Western Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 4am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 8 at 6am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Victory vs. Melbourne City
Saturday, December 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw has a probability of 23.8% and a win for Auckland FC has a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.29%), while for an Auckland FC win it is 1-0 (6.55%).

Result
Auckland FCDrawMelbourne Victory
23.27% (-1.213 -1.21) 23.81% (-1.15 -1.15) 52.92% (2.366 2.37)
Both teams to score 53.69% (2.245 2.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (3.625 3.63)47.34% (-3.622 -3.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (3.273 3.27)69.56% (-3.269 -3.27)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (0.911 0.91)34.65% (-0.90799999999999 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (0.951 0.95)71.38% (-0.95 -0.95)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (2.325 2.33)17.84% (-2.322 -2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.41% (3.86 3.86)48.59% (-3.857 -3.86)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 23.27%
    Melbourne Victory 52.92%
    Draw 23.81%
Auckland FCDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 6.55% (-0.861 -0.86)
2-1 @ 5.99% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 3.47% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.128 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 23.27%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.58 -0.58)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.988 -0.99)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.244 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 10.65% (-0.83 -0.83)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.228 0.23)
0-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.59% (0.52 0.52)
0-3 @ 5.28% (0.37 0.37)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.341 0.34)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.379 0.38)
0-4 @ 2.27% (0.31 0.31)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.227 0.23)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 52.92%

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