Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.