MX23RW : Friday, November 22 05:43:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Nov 11, 2023 at 4.30am UK
Mars Stadium (Ballarat)
Newcastle Jets

Western Utd
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets


Risdon (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stamatelopoulos (44')
Mauragis (51'), Buhagiar (69')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Western Sydney
Sunday, November 5 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
39.5% (0.236 0.24) 24.63% (0.133 0.13) 35.87% (-0.37 -0.37)
Both teams to score 58.99% (-0.526 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)44.03% (0.664 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (-0.652 -0.65)66.41% (0.65000000000001 0.65)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (-0.176 -0.18)22.24% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.262 -0.26)55.67% (0.262 0.26)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.508 -0.51)24.13% (0.505 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-0.724 -0.72)58.44% (0.722 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Western United 39.5%
    Newcastle Jets 35.87%
    Draw 24.63%
Western UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.07% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.5%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 35.87%

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Gameweek 12
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