Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Western United had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 1-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
55.6% (![]() | 21.01% (![]() | 23.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.68% (![]() | 34.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.77% (![]() | 56.23% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.58% (![]() | 12.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.68% (![]() | 38.31% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% (![]() | 27.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.16% (![]() | 62.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.58% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 9.19% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.95% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.7% Total : 23.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 36 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 31 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
7 | Macarthur | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 25 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 25 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 18 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |