MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 21:55:17| >> :60:88:88:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 5, 2023 at 4pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Al-Nassr

Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 - 1
Al-Nassr

Dzhalilov (32')
Dzhalilov (33'), Karomatullozoda (64'), Sebai (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ghareeb (50')
Qassem (45+5'), Al Naji (47'), Otavio (90+4')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Al-Nassr.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawAl-Nassr
26.43% (-0.488 -0.49) 22.77% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 50.8% (0.515 0.52)
Both teams to score 60.64% (-0.365 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (-0.281 -0.28)39.71% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94% (-0.294 -0.29)62.06% (0.294 0.29)
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-0.50099999999999 -0.5)27.97% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-0.642 -0.64)63.61% (0.642 0.64)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (0.076999999999998 0.08)15.8% (-0.077 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.04% (0.145 0.14)44.96% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 26.43%
    Al-Nassr 50.81%
    Draw 22.76%
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 26.43%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.52% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.9% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.63% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.72% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.81%

How you voted: Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr

Istiqlol Dushanbe
0.0%
Draw
16.7%
Al-Nassr
83.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Al-Nassr
3-1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Ronaldo (66'), Talisca (72', 77')
Sebai (44')
Sebai (77')
rhs 2.0
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