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AFC Champions League | Final | 2nd Leg
May 6, 2023 at 10am UK
 

Urawa
1 - 0
Al-Hilal

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's AFC Champions League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Urawa
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Urawa
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Urawa Red Diamonds 1-2 Al-Hilal

This is set to be a fascinating match, with Urawa performing impressively in the first leg of the final. It would not be a shock to see this contest go all the way to penalties, but we just have a feeling that Al-Hilal will be able to navigate their way to a victory in order to win the trophy for the fifth time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Al-Hilal win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawAl-Hilal
43.8% (0.245 0.25) 24.63% (-0.433 -0.43) 31.57% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 57.72% (1.564 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (2.005 2.01)45.14% (-2.006 -2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (1.894 1.89)67.48% (-1.896 -1.9)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.952 0.95)20.7% (-0.955 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (1.479 1.48)53.3% (-1.48 -1.48)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (1.109 1.11)27.21% (-1.111 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (1.423 1.42)62.63% (-1.425 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 43.8%
    Al-Hilal 31.57%
    Draw 24.63%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.194 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.8%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.206 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.5 -0.5)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.406 -0.41)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.165 0.17)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.57%

How you voted: Urawa vs Al-Hilal

Urawa Red Diamonds
42.9%
Draw
7.1%
Al-Hilal
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
Final 1st Leg
Al-Hilal
1-1
Urawa
Koroki (53')
Ito (85'), Iwao (86')
Nov 24, 2019 10am
Final
Urawa
0-2
Al-Hilal

Sekine (43'), Aoki (53'), Iwanami (57'), Makino (76')
Al Dawsari (74'), Gomis (93')
Nov 9, 2019 4.30pm
Final
Al-Hilal
1-0
Urawa
Carrillo (60')
Albulayhi (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
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