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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Comoros national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade de Moroni
Madagascar national football team

Comoros
1 - 0
Madagascar

Bourhane (48')
Omari (43'), Said (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Niaina Rabemananjara (28'), Andriamanjato (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Comoros and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-2 Comoros
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

Madagascar

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 2-3 Tunisia
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Comoros 1-0 Madagascar

 Comoros have always struggled against Madagascar, but the hosts have shown resilience and the ability to get over the line when needed in this campaign, which is why we are predicting a first-ever win for the home side in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 41.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 29.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Comoros in this match.

Result
ComorosDrawMadagascar
29.01% (-0.743 -0.74) 29.33% (0.608 0.61) 41.66% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 42.57% (-1.877 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.05% (-2.168 -2.17)63.95% (2.172 2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.85% (-1.572 -1.57)83.15% (1.576 1.58)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (-1.791 -1.79)38.9% (1.795 1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.37% (-1.737 -1.74)75.63% (1.741 1.74)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.998 -1)30.33% (1.002 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-1.208 -1.21)66.51% (1.213 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Comoros 29%
    Madagascar 41.66%
    Draw 29.33%
ComorosDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 29%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 11.79% (0.92 0.92)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.281 -0.28)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.33%
0-1 @ 14.07% (0.73 0.73)
0-2 @ 8.4% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 41.66%

How you voted: Comoros vs Madagascar

Comoros
53.6%
Draw
28.6%
Madagascar
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Madagascar
1-1
Comoros
Carolus Andriamatsinoro (9')
Hadari Raheriniaina (86')
M'Changama (41')
Bourhane (61')
> Preview
Jun 7, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Madagascar
2-1
Comoros
Raveloson (1', 66')
Niaina Rabemananjara (3'), Amada (26'), Manovo Mataniah Randrianarijaona (80')
Fardou Ben (90+4')
Abdullah (7'), M'Dahoma (89')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2021 11am
Group Stage
Comoros
0-0
Madagascar
rhs 2.0
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