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Africa Cup of Nations
Libya national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
First Statement Stadium
Equatorial Guinea national football team

Libya
1 - 1
Eq Guinea

Taqtaq (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Elo Ayeto (62')
Miranda (57'), Buyla (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Libya and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Libya
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Tunisia
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Libya 0-2 Equatorial Guinea

 With top-spot potentially on the line, we expect Equatorial Guinea to come out guns blazing at the Martyrs of February Stadium on Wednesday. They take on a struggling Libyan side, who have also lost each of their last three encounters, and we fancy them picking up all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
LibyaDrawEquatorial Guinea
49.22% (-2.55 -2.55) 26.06% (0.607 0.61) 24.71% (1.941 1.94)
Both teams to score 48.42% (0.28 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95% (-0.661 -0.66)55.04% (0.65799999999999 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69% (-0.549 -0.55)76.31% (0.54600000000001 0.55)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-1.372 -1.37)22.4% (1.37 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (-2.095 -2.1)55.91% (2.093 2.09)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (1.437 1.44)37.6% (-1.438 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61% (1.379 1.38)74.38% (-1.381 -1.38)
Score Analysis
    Libya 49.22%
    Equatorial Guinea 24.71%
    Draw 26.06%
LibyaDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 12.6% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.554 -0.55)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.486 -0.49)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.263 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 49.22%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.516 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.366 0.37)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.398 0.4)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 24.71%

How you voted: Libya vs Eq Guinea

Libya
7.5%
Draw
15.0%
Equatorial Guinea
77.5%
40
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Eq Guinea
2-0
Libya
Touhami (51' og.), Bikoro (84' pen.)
Anieboh (25'), Miranda (90+3')

Al-Warfali (82')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2018 4.30pm
Group Stage
Libya
3-0
Eq Guinea
Al Taher (12', 17'), Zakaria (87')
Al Taher (48'), Ahmed (65'), Eltrbi (73'), Sabbou (77')
rhs 2.0
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