Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 3
Apr 17, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Boras Arena
Elfsborg4 - 1Varnamo
Soderberg (23'), Okkels (67'), Aron Gudjohnsen (73', 77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Varnamo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-2 Elfsborg
Sunday, May 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, May 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Next Game: Elfsborg vs. Varbergs
Monday, June 27 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Monday, June 27 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Kalmar | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Mjallby AIF | 10 | 1 | 15 |
Last Game: Varnamo 1-0 Hammarby
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Next Game: Kalmar vs. Varnamo
Monday, June 27 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Monday, June 27 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sirius | 10 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Varnamo | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 10 | -8 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Varnamo |
| 54.82% | 22.6% | 22.58% |
| Both teams to score 56.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
