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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw has a probability of 11.7% and a win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 6.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 3-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.56%) and 3-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.2%), while for a Hoffenheim win it is 1-2 (2.16%).
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
81.38% ( 1.91) | 11.65% ( -0.91) | 6.97% ( -1) |
Both teams to score 53.81% ( -1.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.53% ( 0.83) | 25.47% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.47% ( 1.07) | 45.53% ( -1.07) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.3% ( 0.46) | 4.7% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.94% ( 1.39) | 19.06% ( -1.39) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.46% ( -1.75) | 43.54% ( 1.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.25% ( -1.5) | 79.74% ( 1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
3-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.45) 5-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.29) 6-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.16) 5-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.16) Other @ 4.96% Total : 81.38% | 1-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 11.65% | 1-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.19% Total : 6.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |