Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 75.72%. A draw has a probability of 14.8% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.82%), while for an Alaves win it is 1-2 (2.87%).
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Alaves |
75.72% ( -1.36) | 14.76% ( 0.57) | 9.52% ( 0.79) |
Both teams to score 52.89% ( 1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.67% ( -0.13) | 32.33% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.06% ( -0.15) | 53.94% ( 0.16) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.89% ( -0.29) | 7.1% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.11% ( -0.79) | 25.89% ( 0.79) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.94% ( 1.56) | 43.06% ( -1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.66% ( 1.28) | 79.34% ( -1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Alaves |
2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.14) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 75.71% | 1-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.76% | 1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.92% Total : 9.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |