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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 21
Sep 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar
1 - 0
Varbergs

Nanasi (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Birkfeldt (45+3'), Junior (89')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalmar

Last Six:
Last Game: Malmo 0-1 Kalmar
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Varbergs BoIS

Last Six:
Last Game: Varbergs 1-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.

Result
KalmarDrawVarbergs BoIS
58.02% (0.108 0.11) 23.85% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 18.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.12% (0.115 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41% (0.195 0.2)53.58% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (0.165 0.16)75.09% (-0.167 -0.17)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.113 0.11)18.26% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (0.19 0.19)49.32% (-0.192 -0.19)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43% (0.064 0.06)43.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23% (0.052 0.05)79.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 58.01%
    Varbergs BoIS 18.13%
    Draw 23.85%
KalmarDrawVarbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 13.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Kalmar vs Varbergs

Kalmar
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Varbergs BoIS
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Varbergs
0-3
Kalmar

Sverrisson (5'), Zackrisson (65'), Lushaku (80'), Matthews (88'), Birkfeldt (90+4')
Girmai (12'), Berg (36'), Skrabb (59')
Oct 27, 2021 6pm
Kalmar
2-2
Varbergs
Berg (13' pen.), Romarinho (31')
Israelsson (43')
Liljeback (32'), Moon (44')
Winbo (38'), Johansson (57')
Jul 4, 2021 2pm
Varbergs
1-1
Kalmar
Matthews (76')
Fofana (15'), Tranberg (42'), Zackrisson (44'), Liljeback (86'), Ejupi (90+1'), Alfonsi (90+5')
Berg (70')
Ring (20'), Saetra (36'), Ring (84'), Nouri (89')
Sep 28, 2020 6pm
Kalmar
1-1
Varbergs
Magnusson (48')
Bergqvist (20'), Romarinho (38')
Birkfeldt (66')
Book (28'), Sadiku (90'), Lindner (90+4')
Jul 6, 2020 6pm
Varbergs
1-0
Kalmar
Fofana (78')
Ejupi (21'), Zackrisson (43'), Norlin (84'), Le Roux (90')

Romarinho (51'), Ring (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723
> Swedish Allsvenskan Full Table


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