Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.