Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 15

Jul 25, 2022 at 6pm UK

Paskbergsvallen

Varbergs
0 - 3
Hammarby

Sverrisson (12'), Tranberg (52'), Lushaku (61')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ludwigson (16', 20'), Besara (65')
Andersen (73')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Hammarby.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
Varbergs BoIS	Draw	Hammarby
25.12% ( -0.67)	25.25% ( -0.18)	49.62% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.38% (

0.19)

51.61% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6% (

0.17)

73.4% (

-0.17)

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

-0.46)

35.36% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

-0.49)

72.12% (

0.48)

Hammarby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.18% (

0.44)

20.81% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.52% (

0.69)

53.48% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

Varbergs BoIS 25.12%

Hammarby 49.62%

Draw 25.24%

Varbergs BoIS	Draw	Hammarby
1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.12%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 49.62%