Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 17, 2023 at 11pm UK
Sarmiento1 - 0Arsenal
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Arsenal Sarandi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento
Friday, April 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, April 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-3 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, April 13 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, April 13 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarmiento in this match.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
42.95% ( -1.53) | 27.41% ( 0.94) | 29.64% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 48.03% ( -2.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.74% ( -3.28) | 57.26% ( 3.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.89% ( -2.68) | 78.1% ( 2.68) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( -2.25) | 26.4% ( 2.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( -3.09) | 61.56% ( 3.09) |
Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% ( -1.28) | 34.74% ( 1.29) |