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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2025 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Independiente

River Plate
vs.
Independiente

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: Platense 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, January 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Instituto
Thursday, January 30 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Sarmiento
Friday, January 24 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Talleres vs. Independiente
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a River Plate win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for Independiente has a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win is 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Independiente win it is 0-1 (6.22%).

Result
River PlateDrawIndependiente
57.51% (-2.632 -2.63) 23.21% (0.742 0.74) 19.28% (1.887 1.89)
Both teams to score 49.91% (1.101 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46% (-0.278 -0.28)49.54% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (-0.25 -0.25)71.57% (0.247 0.25)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (-1.008 -1.01)16.98% (1.003 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.91% (-1.813 -1.81)47.08% (1.81 1.81)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12% (2.029 2.03)39.87% (-2.033 -2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46% (1.814 1.81)76.54% (-1.818 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 57.5%
    Independiente 19.28%
    Draw 23.2%
River PlateDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.593 -0.59)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.368 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.169 -0.17)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 57.5%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.076 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.24 0.24)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.402 0.4)
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.431 0.43)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.209 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.28%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 13
Independiente
0-0
River Plate
Marcone (33'), Loyola (45'), Segovia (76'), Tarzia (90+6')
Lopez (12')
Pezzella (11'), Bustos (33'), Fonseca (54'), Lanzini (76'), Diaz (78'), Acuna (90+3')
Mar 9, 2024 10.15pm
Gameweek 10
Independiente
1-1
River Plate
Avalos (38')
Laso (31'), Marcone (71'), Rey (86')
Marcone (90+2')
Borja (23')
Gonzalez Pirez (61'), Borja (85')
Oct 26, 2023 1am
Gameweek 10
River Plate
3-0
Independiente
Borja (36', 59'), Solari (84')
Aliendro (28'), Perez (45+1'), Lanzini (80')

Gimenez Rojas (31'), Canelo (45+1'), Marcone (56')
Apr 24, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 13
River Plate
2-0
Independiente
Aug 7, 2022 9.30pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
0-1
River Plate

Cazares (90+2')
Suarez (90+2')
Solari (30'), Armani (63')
rhs 2.0
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