Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Mar 9, 2024 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente1 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-2 Independiente
Tuesday, March 5 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, March 5 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Independiente win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | River Plate |
27.28% ( -0.47) | 27.42% ( -0.03) | 45.29% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 46.66% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.65% ( -0.13) | 58.34% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% ( -0.11) | 78.96% ( 0.1) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% ( -0.46) | 37.2% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% ( -0.46) | 73.99% ( 0.45) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.3% ( 0.19) | 25.7% ( -0.19) |