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Wolves logo
Premier League | Gameweek 33
Jul 4, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Arsenal logo

Wolves
0 - 2
Arsenal


Saiss (75'), Coady (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Saka (43'), Lacazette (86')
Luiz (32'), Maitland-Niles (79'), Torreira (88'), Xhaka (90+1')

Data predicts that Wolves would have beaten Arsenal on Easter Monday

Data predicts that Wolves would have beaten Arsenal on Easter Monday
© Reuters
Statistics dictate Wolverhampton Wanderers have the edge over Arsenal.

Second-half goals from Adama Traore and Raul Jimenez helped Wolves come from behind to claim a 2-1 win over Arsenal in a Premier League fixture where the outcome was predicted based on data from the PA news agency.

Wolves would have welcomed Arsenal on Easter Monday had the coronavirus not led to an indefinite suspension to football in this country and PA's mathematical modelling shows the hosts would have prevailed.

Five of the seven goals Arsenal have scored against top-half opposition came in the first half so it was therefore little surprise Gabriel Martinelli gave the Gunners a 36th-minute lead.

(PA)

In seven of the eight times he has netted this season, Martinelli has scored Arsenal's opening goal so this would have continued a welcome habit for the young Brazilian.

That would have left Wolves trailing at half-time although Nuno Espirito Santo is well-versed in these types of team talks as his side had been behind at the interval in 10 of their previous 14 matches against top-half opposition.

Not once have Wolves been ahead at the halfway point against a top-10 side this season while they have only opened the scoring on one occasion, but they have also never lost the second half at home in the league in 2019/20.

(PA)

It took only six minutes for Wolves to draw level through Traore, who continued his knack of scoring in big games, having found the net on three occasions against Manchester City and once versus Tottenham, all in the second half.

Arsenal have been guilty of some reckless challenges in the box this season and David Luiz conceded his fourth – and the Gunners' seventh – penalty of the season with a clumsy foul on the irrepressible Traore in the 68th minute.

(PA)

Up stepped Jimenez, who made no mistake from the spot. Of his 13 previous top-flight goals scored in this campaign, all but one have come after the break.

And it was the Mexican who had the final word once again, with eight of his 14 top-flight goals now proving to be the last of the game, as Wolves clung on to secure a vital three points – theoretically.

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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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