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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
20.3% ( 0.04) | 21.1% ( 0.01) | 58.6% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.6% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.16% ( -0.02) | 38.83% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.85% ( -0.02) | 61.15% ( 0.02) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.36% ( 0.02) | 32.64% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.82% ( 0.03) | 69.18% ( -0.03) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87% ( -0.02) | 13% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.47% ( -0.04) | 39.53% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.3% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.77% 1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 58.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |