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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 34.15% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Newport County win is 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.32%).
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
34.15% ( -0.93) | 24.41% ( -0.01) | 41.44% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 59.43% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.69% ( -0.14) | 43.3% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.3% ( -0.14) | 65.7% ( 0.14) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% ( -0.59) | 24.76% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.67% ( -0.83) | 59.33% ( 0.83) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% ( 0.38) | 21% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.22% ( 0.59) | 53.77% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.15% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |