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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Swindon Town

Newport
1 - 2
Swindon

Hudlin (12')
Hudlin (45+1'), Evans (47'), Whitmore (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (15'), Westley (75')
Smith (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Newport
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-0 Barrow
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-2 Swindon Town

 Newport will be desperate to stop the rot this week and put points on the board for the first time in 2025, and they could deliver a spirited performance. However, Swindon are in much better form, and even though the Robins might concede due to their own defensive weakness, the Exiles may be unable to avoid yet another defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
34.83% (0.684 0.68) 24.33% (-0.087 -0.09) 40.84% (-0.599 -0.6)
Both teams to score 59.92% (0.483 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (0.557 0.56)42.74% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (0.553 0.55)65.15% (-0.55499999999999 -0.55)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.651 0.65)24.11% (-0.652 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (0.914 0.91)58.41% (-0.917 -0.92)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)21.04% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)53.84% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 34.83%
    Swindon Town 40.84%
    Draw 24.32%
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8% (0.094 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.83%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 40.84%

How you voted: Newport vs Swindon

Newport County
27.8%
Draw
19.4%
Swindon Town
52.8%
36
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Swindon
4-0
Newport
Tshimanga (4'), Glatzel (18'), Baker (21' og.), Cotterill (45')
Kilkenny (56')
Feb 3, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 31
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Evans (53'), Palmer-Houlden (74')
McLoughlin (3'), Bennett (39')
Glatzel (46')
Kokolo (51'), Devoy (72'), Bycroft (75'), Khan (77')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Swindon
2-0
Newport
Kemp (8'), Hepburn-Murphy (82')
Brewitt (36')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 30
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Adeloye (90+1')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Jephcott (51')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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