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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
47.64% ( -0.07) | 22.92% ( 0.04) | 29.43% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 62.6% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.8% ( -0.18) | 38.2% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.52% ( -0.19) | 60.47% ( 0.19) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.62% ( -0.09) | 16.37% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.99% ( -0.17) | 46% ( 0.17) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.86% ( -0.07) | 25.14% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.15% ( -0.1) | 59.85% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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