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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Wimmer (50'), Wind (53')
Wimmer (60'), Maehle (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zec (13'), Skrzybski (80')
Zec (23'), Pichler (90+4'), Arp (90+2'), Remberg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 3-0 Holstein Kiel

Though Wolfsburg have been defensively frail in recent weeks, it is difficult to see Holstein Kiel posing much of a challenge given their poor away form. Additionally, the visitors are in the midst of a defensive injury crisis, and it would be surprising if they managed to keep the hosts from scoring multiple goals on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawHolstein Kiel
47.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 22.92% (0.041 0.04) 29.43% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 62.6% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.8% (-0.181 -0.18)38.2% (0.181 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.52% (-0.193 -0.19)60.47% (0.192 0.19)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)16.37% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)46% (0.168 0.17)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)25.14% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (-0.103 -0.1)59.85% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 47.64%
    Holstein Kiel 29.43%
    Draw 22.91%
WolfsburgDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 47.64%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel

Wolfsburg
85.7%
Draw
13.3%
Holstein Kiel
1.0%
98
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Holstein Kiel
0-2
Wolfsburg

Bernhardsson (48'), Knudsen (58'), Arp (90+7'), Geschwill (90+9')
Rapp (90+7')
Arnold (27'), Bornauw (30')
Svanberg (19'), Wimmer (35'), Baku (41'), Fischer (43'), Tomas (51'), Zesiger (77'), Arnold (89')
May 21, 2018 7.30pm
Finals
Holstein Kiel
0-1
Wolfsburg

Herrmann (31'), Peitz (89'), Ducksch (90')
Knoche (75')
Uduokhai (28'), Brooks (89')
May 17, 2018 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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