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Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Bayern logo

Mainz
1 - 3
Bayern

Caci (43')
Ajorque (45+2'), Kohr (49'), Bell (65')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coman (11'), Kane (16'), Goretzka (59')
de Ligt (27'), Laimer (90+1')

Preview: Mainz 05 vs. Bayern Munich - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Returning to Bundesliga duty after the international break, champions Bayern Munich visit struggling Mainz 05 at MEWA Arena on Saturday.

While Bayern are, for once, not top of the table after the first seven matches, their bogey team Mainz have yet to win in the league this term.


Match preview

Bayern Munich forward Leroy Sane celebrates scoring against Manchester United on September 20, 2023© Reuters

Signing off for a fortnight with victory over Freiburg at Allianz Arena, two goals from Kingsley Coman helped Bayern Munich to a comfortable 3-0 result last time out, with Leroy Sane also scoring for the third league game in a row.

Having previously lost ground to both Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen with a second draw of the season, though, Bayern sit three points shy of top spot as they prepare for Saturday's evening kickoff.

Germany's perennial champions may have gone unbeaten through their first seven games for the first time in seven years, but they could find themselves five points down to Leverkusen before taking to the field, as Die Werkself play Wolfsburg a few hours earlier.

After spending several successful years at Mainz as head coach between 2009 and 2014, Thomas Tuchel now leads his current club back to his old stomping ground, with a Harry Kane-led front line promising to put an end to the Bavarian giants' woes away to Die Nullfunfer.

Following Coman's first two top-flight strikes of the season, Bayern boast the joint-best attack in the Bundesliga, averaging over three goals per game; meanwhile, Mainz have the joint-worst defence, with 19 goals conceded.

Mainz 05 coach Bo Svensson on August 20, 2023© Reuters

The only reason for pessimism in the visitors' camp surely comes from a grim recent record at MEWA Arena, as they have lost each of their last three league matches there - a streak Mainz would love to continue this weekend.

In fact, that impressive sequence of successive home wins over Bayern Munich represents more victories than in Die Nullfunfer's previous 14 attempts combined.

Schalke were the last club to make it four on the spin versus Bayern, just after the turn of the century, and current Mainz coach Bo Svensson could now become the first manager to win all of his first four Bundesliga home games against them.

However, Svensson's side last won any top-flight fixture back in April - a shock 3-1 defeat of none other than Bayern - and they have lost nine of 12 league games since then.

As a result, Mainz have made their second-worst start to a Bundesliga season, and sitting on just two points from seven games following a 2-2 draw with Borussia Monchengladbach just before the break, they languish inside the relegation zone.

Mainz 05 Bundesliga form:

Bayern Munich Bundesliga form:


Bayern Munich form (all competitions):



Team News

Bayern Munich's Manuel Neuer during the warm up before the match on August 14, 2022© Reuters

Although Manuel Neuer has returned to full training, it is not thought that Bayern Munich's number one will displace deputy Sven Ulreich just yet, and the 37-year-old is more likely to be named on the bench.

Raphael Guerreiro (thigh) and Dayot Upamecano (hamstring) remain sidelined by injury for the visitors, while Serge Gnabry (arm) is still a doubt. However, captain Joshua Kimmich will hope to recover from an illness that saw him withdraw from Germany duty.

In Gnabry's absence, star striker Harry Kane should be supported by Leroy Sane - who already has six league goals this season, and more away from home than any other player (four) - and Kingsley Coman. The latter has been directly involved in six Bundesliga strikes against Mainz to date - four of his own and two assists.

Meanwhile, Thomas Tuchel may have to shuffle his back four again, as it remains to be seen how Noussair Mazraoui will be censured following his social media post regarding the Israel-Gaza conflict earlier this week - a suspension is expected. Bouna Sarr may therefore be called upon at right-back, or Konrad Laimer could deputise if required.

Mainz have also dealt firmly with Anwar El Ghazi, who has been indefinitely suspended by the club for a similar public statement to Mazraoui's.

In addition to the ex-Aston Villa winger, the home side will be without Jonathan Burkardt (knee) and Andreas Hanche-Olsen (ankle) due to injury, while Maxim Leitsch and Austrian striker Karim Onisiwo are doubtful.

With Onisiwo likely to miss out, Brajan Gruda is set to continue as part of Bo Svensson's forward line, following his goal against Gladbach last time out.


Mainz 05 possible starting lineup:
Zentner; Van den Berg, Bell, Fernandes; Da Costa, Barreiro, Kohr, Caci; Lee, Gruda; Ajorque

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Ulreich; Laimer, Kim, De Ligt, Davies; Kimmich, Goretzka; Coman, Musiala, Sane; Kane


SM words green background

We say: Mainz 05 0-2 Bayern Munich

Even with half an eye on Tuesday's Champions League clash with Galatasaray, it should be a straightforward matter for Bayern Munich to halt their losing streak in Mainz this weekend. While the champions can score from all angles, their hosts have been awful at the back this term and cannot hope to keep Bayern at bay for a full 90 minutes.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data


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Game History

How you voted: Mainz vs Bayern

Mainz 05
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Draw
8.0%
Bayern Munich
84.0%
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Bayern Munich's Leroy Sane celebrates a goal before it is disallowed on October 8, 2023
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2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
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9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
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11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
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